I listened to a Zogby guy being called to task this morning for projecting Obama as a 10- to 12-point winner in NH. He talked about the 18 percent of NH voters who say they decided at the last minute, and theorized that with Obama the presumptive big winner on the Dem side, Independents voted in the Republican primary instead, where their thought their vote would matter more, which drained from Obama, lifted McCain, and artificially lifted Hillary.
I still believe in Hillary's inevitability, for better or worse. The Clinton machine is too powerful, relentless and totally without conscience.
Victor Davis Hanson nails it as usual:
Again, never underestimate the Clintonian team.
Hillary Clinton is in the midst of a complete focus-group/poll-driven/handler make-over. And to the degree she sticks to it, she will do fine. As we heard tonight, Hillary has now “found her voice”; she suddenly speaks more slowly, there are more bite-the-lip-like pauses, and she has been reminded not to go into frenetic panic mode or hit that screech-owl high note as much. She will seek out interviews, welcome questions, and be empathetic, accessible, and sensitive to the public.
Her New Hampshire victory speech was almost anti-Hillary (at least until the last two seconds of the old Hillary shrill-shouting): slow, deliberate, empathetic, a lot of personal voice — and Bill finally off the stage.Note that she thanked her mother and almost everyone else imaginable (even Biden, Dodd, etc.), but not Bill! — who, of course, in albatross fashion, blew up again on his stump, and ranted on about himself and how he has suffered so for the rest of us.
A final note: The campaign talking heads and opinion makers this season have been lousy, about the worst in memory — especially the “she’s won, she’s lost, she’s won...” feeding frenzy, and then writing the silly “end of the Clinton era” essays — all based on a few thousand Iowans, some bad polls in New Hampshire, and catch-up to what some other wrong pundit wrote an hour earlier. And remember, these are “experts” who pontificated each week on the real Iraq war.
They remind one of the ridiculous gnashing tropical carp, splashing about in Saddam’s old Baghdad pond.
Women vote overwhelmingly for the Democrat in the general election, and the Democrat who appeals most strongly to women will be in a very good position in November. That is why Obama's strong showing among women was such big news after Iowa, and why Hillary showed the makings of a tear the other day in New Hampshire: I am woman, see me cry. And the question that was asked was too perfect to be random: How do you do it? How do you maintain your makeup (used exclusively by women) and hair style (a uniquely female concern) during the grueling campaign calendar? It was a scripted moment to appeal to women. I have to hand it to them, the Clintons are good. Repulsive but good.
Note when she “opened her heart” there was an enhancing soft light around her, and her make-up was understated and pastelish — an aura effect.