Who would have thought, a few months ago when Dr. Media pronounced McCain dead, that the headlines today would proclaim him the nominee in waiting?
We're not picking on Zogby, they just offer the best example of the lesson that politics is unpredictable. Their telephone survey of 364 likely Republicans, conducted 7/12-14 last year, showed Fred Thompson with 22% and Rudy Giuliani with 21%, followed by Romney's 11%, McCain at 9% and Huckabee at just 5%. Thompson and Giuliani, who led the national polls all year, are gone. Laggards Romney, McCain and Huckabee are still standing. Remember this in four years: Do not pay attention to national polls in presidential primaries.
Starting today, Romney gets the pairing he wanted. He can cast himself as the conservative alternative to that rascally maverick McCain. Of course the sad news behind all of this is that Hillary Clinton is our next president. I would love to be wrong but I don't see it. Rebuttals welcome.
3 comments:
There are polls that show McCain leading both Dems in heads-up matches, so there is hope. Hopefully, Obama gets huge on Tuesday and makes it a race. If he can win the nomination then at least we are spared another Billary term. It may work out that McCain is beloved by Dems, so that he can take votes away from his opponent in the general election.
From Daniel Negreanu's poker blog. Hopefully a notion shared by many dems:
The race is getting is a little depressing as Hillary continues to lead. I don't have a problem with a women president, I just have a problem with this particular woman. If Obama doesn't win the nomination I'll be devastated, but that's life I guess. If it does come down to Hillary vs. McCain I might end up backing McCain.
I have resigned myself to a Democrat since the 2006 midterm elections. Though I do see Hillary's nastiness versus Obama somewhat problematic for her in that it might depress turnout.
I bet that Daniel votes for her anyway after he watches the press trash McCain as the Bush lite.
There will be pressure for her to select Obama as her running mate. Will she do it and will he accept?
Post a Comment